Ian J. Neeland, MD, of the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, and colleagues conducted a study involving 732 obese adults (BMI ≥30) aged 30 to 65 years without diabetes or cardiovascular disease. Patients were enrolled in the Dallas Heart Study between 2000 and 2002.
The following measurements were obtained: BMI (using DXA and MRI); circulating adipokines and biomarkers of insulin resistance; dyslipidemia and inflammation; and subclinical atherosclerosis and cardiac structure and function (using CT and MRI), according to the study.
The primary outcome was diabetes incidence during a median 7 years of follow-up. Researchers also determined the incidence of composite prediabetes or diabetes in a subgroup of 512 patients with normal fasting glucose at baseline.
More than 10% of patients developed diabetes (11.5%) during the study. Results of a multivariable analysis revealed that several factors were independently associated with diabetes, including: higher baseline visceral fat mass (OR=2.4; 95% CI, 1.6-3.7); fructosamine level (OR=2.0; 95% CI, 1.4-2.7); fasting glucose level (OR=1.9; 95% CI, 1.4-2.6); family history of diabetes (OR=2.3; 95% CI, 1.3-4.3); systolic BP (OR=1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5); and weight gain during follow-up (OR=1.06; 95% CI, 1.02-1.10).
However, BMI, total body fat and abdominal subcutaneous fat were not associated with diabetes. Results from the subgroup analysis demonstrated that the composite of prediabetes or type 2 diabetes occurred among 39.1% of patients and was independently associated with baseline levels of: visceral fat mass, fasting glucose, insulin and fructosamine; older age; non-white race; family history of disease; and weight gain during follow-up (P<.05 for each).
Similarly, however, there was no association with general adiposity measurements, they wrote.“These findings suggest that clinically measurable markers of adipose tissue distribution and insulin resistance may be useful in prediabetes and diabetes risk discrimination among obese individuals and support the notion of obesity as a heterogeneous disorder with distinct adiposity subphenotypes.”
Neeland IJ. JAMA. 2012;308:1150-1159.
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